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OPEC says it doesn’t know how to coexist with shale oil, a test balloon for suspected release-meyou

Posted on June 4, 2018 by hanson

OPEC says it does not know how to coexist with shale oil, suspected release test balloons, Sina stocks, Beijing time 23 news, perhaps, the oil exporting countries and the United States shale oil industry needs a relationship consultant. Bloomberg’s paper pointed out that OPEC’s attitude towards shale oil was initially ignored, then worried, and finally provoked a price war…… Now, OPEC concludes that they don’t really know how to coexist with the shale oil industry in the United states. Badri Abdalla Salem El-Badri, at Houston’s IHS CERAWeek conference, faced a Texas and North Dakota oil industry executive who admitted, "shale oil in the United States, we really don’t know how we’re going to be together." OPEC controls about 40% of global production, and Delhi says none of its former rivals has reacted so quickly to price changes like shale oil. This makes the organization’s ability to cut prices, has been a serious challenge. "As soon as the price goes up, shale oil will come quickly and fill any shortfall in production." Badri admitted that the situation has already provided a new reason to worry about shale oil cartel OPEC is expected out of the track of the International Energy Agency earlier Monday they announced, is expected from 2015 to 2021, even at low prices in the background, the United States crude oil output will increase by 1 million 300 thousand barrels. They believe that although shale oil production in the United States will decrease by 600 thousand and 200 thousand barrels per year this year and next year, it will begin to rise again after 2018. The interim report of the IEA says that anyone who believes that the world has seen the pinnacle of shale oil production in the United States should rethink it". John Hess, one of the largest players in the Bakken shale area in North Dakota, says shale oil’s reaction rate may not be as fast as OPEC feared Hess. To re invest in equipment and manpower, to restore production, in addition to funding problems, there are many logistical difficulties need to overcome. The shale oil producers’ balance sheet has been very bad." Hess’s company has just released its first annual loss message in nearly thirteen years. "They have to settle the balance sheet before they start investing again." In November 2014, OPEC refused to cut production in the case of global oversupply, and launched a price war against high cost players such as US shale oil and Canadian oil sands, Brazil deepwater oil fields. Since then, crude oil prices have fallen by more than half, falling to the lowest point in nearly twelve years in February 11th to $26. The Pakistani government made a rare announcement that the situation was not in accordance with their expectations, and OPEC did not expect prices to fall to this level. Last week, OPEC’s strategy seems to be shifting, and Saudi Arabia and Russia’s oil ministers have come to an agreement that if other oil producing countries can join, we can talk about it

欧佩克称不懂如何与页岩油共存 疑似释放试探气球   新浪美股北京时间23日讯 或许,石油输出国家组织和美国页岩油行业之间是需要一个关系顾问。   彭博刊文指出,欧佩克对页岩油的态度最初是无视,然后是担心,最后则干脆挑起了价格战……现在,欧佩克的结论是,他们其实根本不知道如何与美国页岩油行业共存。   欧佩克秘书长巴德里(Abdalla Salem El-Badri)在休斯顿参加IHS CERAWeek会议时,面对一屋子得克萨斯和北达科他的石油行业高管承认:“美国的页岩油,我们真的不知道大家该如何共存。”   欧佩克控制着全球产量的大约40%,巴德里表示,他们之前打交道的对手,没有一个能够像页岩油这样对价格变化做出如此迅速反应的。这就使得该组织减产提价的能力受到了严重的挑战。   “只要价格有一点上涨,页岩油就会迅速赶到,填补上任何减产造成的缺口。” 巴德里承认,局面的发展早已脱离了欧佩克预计的轨迹   国际能源署周一早些时候为欧佩克提供了一个对页岩油感到担心的新理由,他们宣布,预计从2015年到2021年,哪怕是在低价格的背景下,美国原油日产量也将增长130万桶。他们认为,尽管美国页岩油日产量今年和明年将分别减少60万和20万桶,但是2018年后将再度开始上扬。   国际能源署中期报告写道,任何人如果相信这世界已经看到了美国页岩油生产的顶峰,都“应该重新思考一番”。   北达科他州Bakken页岩地区最大玩家之一的首席执行官赫斯(John Hess)则表示,页岩油的反应速度或许并不会像欧佩克害怕的那么迅速。要重新投入设备和人力,恢复生产,除开资金方面的问题之外,还有很多后勤方面的困难需要克服。   “页岩油生产商的资产负债表情况已经很糟糕了。”赫斯的公司刚刚发布了近十三年来的第一次年度亏损消息,“他们要重新开始投资前,必须解决资产负债表的问题。”   2014年11月,欧佩克在全球供应过剩的情况下拒绝减产,打响了针对美国页岩油和加拿大油砂、巴西深水油田等高成本玩家的价格战。从那时到现在,原油价格下跌了超过一半,2月11日跌至26美元的近十二年最低点。   巴德里做出了罕见的表态,承认局面并非按照他们预期发展的,欧佩克当初并没有想到价格会跌到这个程度。   上周,欧佩克的策略似乎开始转变了,沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯的石油部长达成协议,即,如果其他产油国能够加入,大家可以将产量冻结在1月的水平。巴德里称,将对这新政策进行三四个月的评估,再确定是否采取其他措施。   “这是第一步,我们要看看我们究竟能够达到怎样的目标。”他表示,“如果这一阶段获得成功,我们在未来就可以继续前进了。”不过,他拒绝解释欧佩克预期中的后续步骤是什么。   巴德里表示,低油价导致企业开发新产能的投资收到了过度削减,这可能会为未来“极高的价格”埋下伏笔。   “让人担心的是,现在不投资,将来就没有供应。这是非常简单的逻辑。如果市场上供应不足,价格就会上涨。”(子衿) 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: